Thursday, September 18

Odds of John McCain (Rest In) Peacing Out

Though I loved the Matt Damon interview where he brings up some hilarious and frighteningly relevant points, there was a slight flaw in his speech: Unlike the character that made him famous, the real-life Will Hunting messed up the math a bit when he said there was a one in three chance of McCain dying while in office.

In reality, the odds are closer to one in six. This piece, published on Portfolio.com this week, used the same math insurance companies apply to determine premiums. Which means it is pretty dependable, accurate, and widely accepted. Here are a few horrifying comparisons:
"To put the question into a more helpful context, let's look at everyday events that have about the same odds as soon swearing in President Palin:

-On your next try, pulling a red M&M out of the bag.
-That your birthday falls on a Wednesday.
-That, during a full inning of a Major League Baseball game, one of the teams hits a home run.
-That the next car you see will be black."
The entire piece is definitely worth reading. Some of the things less likely than a President Palin are shocking.

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